Latvian electricity market overview

In April 2024, the average electricity price in the Latvian bidding area decreased to EUR 60,25 per megawatt hour (EUR/MWh), which is 12% less than in March, while compared to April 2023, the price is 9% lower.

Highlights in April :
  • In April, electricity production in Latvia fell by 17% and electricity consumption also fell by 7% compared to March. Compared to the same month last year, production fell by 21% while consumption increased by 2%;
  • Similar to Latvia, in the Baltic States as a whole, both electricity production and consumption decreased in April by 8% and 6% respectively, while compared to April 2023, production and consumption increased by 14% and 5% respectively;
  • In April, Lithuania produced 636 GWh of electricity, Estonia 352 GWh and Latvia maintained its status as the leader in production with 786 GWh, while in terms of electricity consumption, Lithuania was the leader with 953 GWh, followed by Estonia with 677 GWh, and Latvia consumed the least in April with 557 GWh;
  • Despite the decrease in electricity production, 141% of the country's electricity demand was generated in April, with the surplus of 229 GWh exported to neighbouring countries;
  • The biggest drop in production was in natural gas power plants - by 77%, while the volume increased by 188% compared to April 2023. However, the output of solar power plants continues to grow, reaching a new record of 26 557 MWh in April;
  • In April, 95,18% of Latvia's electricity was generated from renewable sources, the highest share of green electricity since May 2023;
  • The average monthly electricity price in Latvia fell to 60,25 EUR/MWh, which is the lowest price since May of 2021. A similar trend was also observed in neighboring countries: in Lithuania, the price was identical to Latvia, but in Estonia, the monthly average price was slightly higher - 60,39 EUR/MWh;
  • The drop in electricity prices was facilitated by the high performance of solar, wind and hydro power plants as well as warmer weather, which contributed to the reduction in electricity consumption. Moreover, in the first half of April, negative prices could be observed in the Latvian trading area for 25 hours due to the forecast of large solar, wind and hydro generation. A similar situation could be observed in the Baltic States and Nordic countries;
  • In the Baltic interconnected trading areas, April showed different trends in relation to the average electricity price: in Finland and Sweden's 4th zone, the price decreased by 18% or up to 48,92 EUR/MWh and by 4% or up to 53,79 EUR/MWh, respectively, while in Poland the price increased by 7% or up to 80,87 EUR/MWh;
  • In April, compared to March, the import of electricity to the Baltic States decreased by 2,5%, although the volume imported from Poland increased by 1,3% and Finland by 19,1%, but decreased by 12,7% from Sweden's 4th zone. The amount of imported electricity to the Baltic States continues to decrease, reaching the lowest amount since November 2023;
  • In April, a total of 279 767 GOs were issued in the Latvian Domain for GOs, 60% less than in March.

Raw data can be downloaded here.

Electricity production and consumption balance in Latvia*

Production type

April 2024, MWh

Compared to the previous month, %

April 2023, MWh

Hydro

665 640

-4%

902 155

Fossil Gas

37 893

-77%

13 152

Wind

21 071

-8%

18 285

Biomass

23 077

-22%

32 189

Biogas

12 248

-19%

16 602

Solar

26 557

18%

11 600

Total production, including:

786 486

-17%

993 983

– In transmission grid

713 146

-18%

923 568

– In distribution grid  [1]

73 341

-5%

70 415

* Here and in the following review, the electricity produced is the electricity injected into the grid and the electricity consumed is the electricity received from the grid for consumption.

** Fossil energy source – fossil gas; renewable energy sources – hydro, solar, wind, biogas and biomass.

 

April 2024, MWh

Compared to the previous month, %

April 2023, MWh

Electricity import to Latvian electricity grid [2]

124 017

-13%

84 405

Export from Latvian electricity grid [3]

353 195

-28%

533 483

Net exchange

229 178 (surplus)

-34%

449 077 (surplus)

 

April 2024, MWh

Compared to the previous month

April 2023, MWh

Electricity consumption in Latvia [4]

557 309

-7%

544 906

Electricity consumption covered by local generation*

141%

-17 (percentage points)

182%

Balance of the electricity production and consumption in the Baltic States

 

April 2024, MWh

Compared to the previous month, %

April 2023, MWh

 

Production

Consumption

Production

Consumption

Production

Consumption

Baltic States

1 774 679

2 187 186

-8%

-6%

1 717 518

2 059 118

Estonia

352 199

676 908

-7%

-6%

335 113

611 515

Latvia

786 486

557 309

-17%

-7%

993 983

544 906

Lithuania

635 994

952 969

4%

-6%

388 422

902 697

Interconnection load and electricity prices

Bidding area

Average price in April 2024, EUR/MWh

Compared to previous month, %

Average price in April 2023, EUR/MWh

Lowest hourly price in April 2024, EUR/MWh

Highest hourly price in April 2024, EUR/MWh

Lowest daily price in April 2024, EUR/MWh

Highest daily price in April 2024, EUR/MWh

NPS Finland

48.92

-18%

60.55

-10.00

249.96

1.30

98.62

NPS Estonia

60.39

-12%

65.89

-10.00

249.96

4.55

106.80

NPS Latvia

60.25

-12%

65.89

-10.00

249.96

1.53

106.80

NPS Lithuania

60.25

-12%

67.27

-10.00

249.96

1.53

106.80

NPS Sweden (SE4)

53.79

-4%

65.16

-54.00

204.57

-5.55

99.86

Poland

80.87

7%

122.09

-46.24

152.47

24.43

107.30

Price comparison between neighbouring bidding areas

Comparable bidding areas

Hours with the same price in April 2024, %

Compared to previous month (percentage points)

Hours with the same price in April 2023, %

NPS FI & EE

42.9%

-8.5

83.6%

NPS EE & LV

98.5%

-0.9

100.0%

NPS LV & LT

100.0%

0.0

94.6%

NPS LT & SE4

58.6%

10.7

91.0%

Load of the Baltic States interconnections

Interconnection

Average load in April 2024, %

Compared to previous month (percentage points)

Lowest daily load in April 2024, %

Highest daily load in April 2024, %

LV -> LT

15.9%

-5.7

0.1%

42.4%

EE -> LV

1.1%

0.4

0.0%

8.5%

LT -> LV

6.8%

3.3

0.0%

40.6%

PL->LT

33.6%

-4.0

0.0%

74.6%

LT->PL

39.1%

2.5

2.4%

97.8%

SE4->LT

70.3%

-6.3

10.8%

100.0%

FI->EE

76.7%

12.2

3.6%

100.0%

LV>EE

23.6%

-5.1

4.1%

71.5%

EE>FI

9.5%

-6.9

0.0%

84.1%

LT>SE4

2.2%

1.4

0.0%

26.8%

Electricity import to the Baltic States

 

April 2024, MWh

Compared to previous month, %

April 2023, MWh

Import from third countries

0

0.0%

0

Import from EU countries, including:

662 059

-2.5%

649 690

From Poland

119 091

1.3%

10 424

From Sweden

345 168

-12.7%

274 622

From Finland

197 800

19.1%

364 644

GUARANTEES OF ORIGIN (GOs)
Statistics of the activity in the Latvia Domain for GOs

Transaction type

April 2024, MWh

Compared to previous month, %

April 2023, MWh

Issued GOs

279 767

-59.7%

279 875

Cancelled GOs

65 467

-48.3%

73 610

Imported GOs

22 565

-71.3%

45 668

Exported GOs

433 140

-17.6%

391 545

GO Transfers internally

57 233

-82.0%

10 650

Expired GOs

633

100.0%

729

BALANCING MARKET IN THE BALTIC STATES
Imbalance prices in the Baltic States

Country

Imbalance price in April 2024, EUR/MWh

Compared to previous month, %

Imbalance price in April 2023, EUR/MWh

Estonia

57.30

-8%

61.87

Latvia

57.30

-8%

61.92

Lithuania

57.30

-8%

63.08

Highest and lowest bid prices

 

Estonia

Latvia

Lithuania

 

Upward

Downward

Upward

Downward

Upward

Downward

Highest price, EUR/MWh

750

225

250

30

495

111

Lowest price, EUR/MWh

18

-100

1

-100

0

-229

Total activated energy

 

Upward

Downward

 

Total activated energy in April 2024, MWh

Compared to previous month, %

Total activated energy in April 2024, MWh

Compared to previous month, %

Estonia

1 637

12%

2 149

-39%

Latvia

3 780

45%

5 965

-7%

Lithuania

7 962

-29%

15 965

-21%

Finland

802

46%

8 835

10%

Sweden

1043

-14%

6 793

-49%

Average hourly standard bid size

 

Average hourly standard bid size in April 2024, MW

Compared to previous month, %

Hours with no standard bids in April 2024, %

 

Upward

Downward

Upward

Downward

Upward

Downward

Baltic States

588

233

2%

0%

0%

0%

Estonia

24

15

7%

8%

0%

1%

Latvia

47

37

46%

6%

20%

39%

Lithuania

516

180

0%

-1%

0%

9%

In case of any doubts, questions or inaccuracies, please contact us at [email protected]

The information contained in the Market Overview is provided for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing contained in the Market Overview is to be construed or used as a basis for investment or as a basis for any claims against AST. 


Abbreviations and designations used:

LV - Latvia trade area, LT - Lithuania trade area, EE - Estonia trade area, PL - Poland trade area, FI - Finland trade area, SE4 - Sweden's fourth trade area, AT - Austrian trade area, BE - Belgium trade area, DE-LU - German- Luxembourg trade area, FR - France trade area, NL - the Netherlands trade area, DK1 and DK2 - Danish 1. and 2. trade area.

The data sources for the balance of electricity produced and consumed in Lithuania and Estonia are operational data from the ENTSO-E Data Transparency Platform, which is a central collection and publication of electricity generation, transportation and consumption data and information for the pan-European market.

Load = monthly total commercial flow in kWh / monthly total net transfer capacity in kWh ("Net Transfer Capacity" NTC).

Nord Pool is a Nordic electricity exchange where, based on market principles, the electricity price of the Latvian trading area is determined.

Guarantee of Origin (GO) is an electronic document, that proves the origin of the generated electricity. GOs are uniquely identifiable, transferable, and therefore tradable and used (by cancellation) to provide information of supplied energy to the end-consumer. One GO = 1 MWh generated and injected into the grid that has an expiration of 12 months after the end of the production period.

* Here and in the following review, the electricity produced is the electricity injected into the grid and the electricity consumed is the electricity received from the grid for consumption.

** Fossil energy source – fossil gas; renewable energy sources – hydro, solar, wind, biogas and biomass.

[1] In Latvia there are 10 distribution system operators – for more information visit https://www.sprk.gov.lv/content/pakalpojumu-sniedzeji-1

[2] Electricity imports are not commercial transactions, but electricity that has physically entered the network from other countries.

[3] Electricity exports are not commercial transactions, but electricity physically transferred from the network to other countries.

[4] According to the (ENTSO-E) definition, which does not include electrical self consumption.